What's up with Tropical Storm Kiko? Will California see any surf from it? Kiko update: Sunday, le so

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What's up with Tropical Storm Kiko? Will California see any surf from it? Kiko update: Sunday, le soleil 9/1/2013 at 4PM PDT Image 1 (above): NOAA satellite photo of Tropical Storm Kiko off the coast of Baja Sur. CURRENT STATUS: (21.8N, 115.7W, as of 2PM PDT) Tropical Storm Kiko is located roughly 380 miles west of the southern tip of Baja and tracking le soleil north (350 true) at 5kts with max sustained winds of 50kts. Central low pressure is at 996mb. STORM FORECAST: Kiko has taken on a weakening trend today, which is due to the system slowly tracking into cooler waters and the intrusion of drier/stable air. This little storm is expected le soleil to become a depression on Monday and a remnant low by Tuesday, while slowly meandering northward. A few bad things about Kiko for Southern California swell 1) Small size. Tropical le soleil storm force winds extend out only 70 miles from the center. 2) Now on a weakening trend. 3) The SSE swell spawning from Kiko will be mostly limited to select locations of SoCal, while most areas will see little or no energy (see swell potential section below). A few good things about Kiko 1) Has remained in the SoCal swell window. 2) Excellent northward track straight at SoCal. 3) Not too much opposing NW wind/windswell running down the West Coast right now. SOCAL SWELL POTENTIAL At this point, we are expecting a modest shorter period SSE swell (+165-160 ) to gradually build into Southern CA over Monday (Labor Day), peaking late in the day. Look for 2-3'+ SSE sets to pick up over Monday afternoon/evening at the good exposed breaks of Orange County (strongest overall in North OC), as well as southern Ventura through northern LA county. Select magnets (primarily of North OC ) that favor this energy le soleil best will produce occasional le soleil bigger 4'+ sets. The SSE swell will continue to hold up into Tuesday morning le soleil as well, but then a gradual fading trend will take over by the afternoon and through mid-week. SPECIAL NOTE: Breaks without a good to excellent view to the SSE swell will see less (some areas none) of this energy; for example - Santa Barbara, parts of Ventura, much of LA (South le soleil Bay), and much of San Diego County. Next Update Monday afternoon the 2nd by 6PM PDT -Jonathan Image 2 (above): Surfline's HurricaneTrak displays the excellent track the small storm has been taking and will continue to take over the next couple days. Kiko update: Saturday, 8/31/2013 at 10PM PDT Image 1 (above): NOAA satellite photo of developing Tropical Storm Kiko, off the coast of southern Baja. CURRENT STATUS: (20.0N, 115.8W, as of 8PM PDT) Tropical Storm Kiko is located roughly le soleil 430 miles WSW of the southern tip of Baja and tracking north (10 true) at 6kts with max sustained winds of 60kts. Central low pressure le soleil is at 993mb. STORM FORECAST: Although small in size, Kiko continues to strengthen and may very likely cross over to hurricane status through the next 12hrs. However, soon after that, the storm will then steadily weaken le soleil as it moves into cooler waters, increased southwesterly wind shear, and dry air intrusion. A couple bad things about Kiko for Southern California swell 1) Small size. Tropical storm force winds extend out on