Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Every man needs a frame of reference to make sense of the world and the reason for everything that

Life at rendomu: Black Swan Theory | Tarzanija laser hair removal
Every man needs a frame of reference to make sense of the world and the reason for everything that is happening around him. Why do not you approached one of the supporting dancers Ace Pejovic you are prompted her to light the cigarette? So what's a whore and gold digger broke. Why continue to live in oId fart? American laser hair removal conspiracy, laser hair removal made WoW to stumble youth and energy of Serbia was. Etc..
Maybe for you the right answer to all these questions karma, the principle that good good returns. Or you're deeply religious and believe in destiny. And maybe you're an absolute science-oriented positivists. Whatever it is - we have to disappoint you. All three ideas are mostly crap (for not completely shit is solely responsible science, and only those in some form contains math). Our lives are completely laser hair removal Renda of them have very little control and depend on more than just luck than we would like to admit, much more than how much we are hardworking, good or technicians with Boban. So, instead of relying on religion, ideology, and other methods Silva, Tarzanija holding black swan theory.
This theory has set man named Nasim Nicholas Taleb, a philosopher, a financial broker, writer and Orthodox from Lebanon, and her name stems from historical anecdotes that we now divide with you on general education and distraction. In fact, in Europe the term "black swan" from the time when it was the Roman Empire, to describe something that does not exist. On willow grapes. A pig with wings. Marina Tucaković. And so it was all cool one thousand and a half years, until someone made a smart and discovered Australia and all the horrors that live there and that we will eventually kill all of them in their sleep.
Among these horrors, stunned European researchers have "discovered" the real, live black swans. Thus, "CNI swan" metaphor for something impossible has become a metaphor for something that was thought to be not possible, but it turned out as possible - and as a good guideline for how many actually have no idea about the world around laser hair removal us.
The theory of black swan'll be easier to understand if you imagine your life as a circle of light, with you as a great source in the center of the circle. In this figure, the light is everything that you video, experienced, all the things you reached, svekupuno your current life experience. From this it follows that the darkness of everything else - that is all that blessed and cursed ignorance and inexperience that makes the rest of the world. Human society would, by that analogy was Pancevo time: a bunch of lamps which Renda trigger, once out at the waves, mostly bright, although some inexplicably stronger than others. And this fits perfectly laser hair removal with the hit group for which we have always claimed that her popularity might save only the name has changed to be changing its name states, to which it is called. Of course, the question is ...
Retarded black butterflies suicide - it would be all those events over which you have influence. What's in your gravitational field. Does that first morning pee and jerk, or vice versa. All what is essentially banal, everyday and only important laser hair removal to you. Black swans, on the other hand ... They can not see that in all this mrakčini (because they are black) and they have influence over how and Tijanić over instinct to steal all Krtina cafe with a shank and escape into the female toilet where it will nestle in the breast and olizati in pihti. Black swans are all those really important events that seemingly come out of nowhere and affect millions of lives. Great discoveries, wars, legendary works of art, wars, one rerun "Only Fools and Horses" by generation, wars ... All what is not and can never be the area of influence of an individual.
But what about Obama, Djilas and other Illuminati? What is the European laser hair removal Commission, the Swiss bankers, Iranian Ayatollah? Must these people have influence, to shape our destiny laser hair removal and our collective ass dip in the pool sone acid! Well it is true, but only in the sense that they have the levers of power to react to events. It is true that they run things, but most often in the direction of their own pockets. Use opportunities and create them. They're playing with black butterflies. But what defines black swans is just that neither Putz can not be controlled.
"Leaders", "managers" and other fraudulent "occupation" may not lie when they claim to know what they are doing, but certainly lying when they claim to know what is going to be. And the blackest laser hair removal is that many do not lie consciously, but really think they can break "trends", "movement" and predict future events. Because they are experts. They reverse the game and rule the world. For them there are no surprises.
The normal distribution is a basic statistical functions and as such the last few decades, the darling of the muzzle at investment banks, insurance companies and armies laser hair removal - in general, in all kinds of "risk management" - and in spite of the popularity of the dry dick when it needs to be applied to any complex system with too many strangers. Just ask the bankers on Wall Street what's 2008th either with all their fancy formulas and floors full of doctor of mathematics and supercomputer

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